Predictions for 2013
Sidney Sees All (or at least 73% of it)
scroll below for full list and results
"The irony of prognostication
is that in retrospect, accurate
predictions seem obvious while
wrong predictions seem ludicrous."
- Sidney Friedman
Bedbugs in Boston? Monsoon in Montana? What will occur in 2013? One person, Sidney Friedman, may actually have the prescience to know. Yes, at new year's time, prognosticators come out of the woodwork, but Sidney Friedman has the credibility of a documented track record at 73% accuracy over 15 years of stating predictions on shows like ABC-TV’s THEVIEW, NBC-TV’s TODAY SHOW, ABC-TV's 20/20, and numerous other local and national TV and radio shows and publications like FORBES magazine and the NEW YORK POST. This includes a near perfect record of predicting OSCAR winners, only missing twice in that period.
And since he began including economic foresights four years ago, Friedman has been on-target predicting the exact trend of the stock market and unemployment figures. Perhaps the most extraordinary FRIEDMAN prognostications of this past year were the following, as published in a NEW YORK POST article, January 2nd, 2012.
Friedman stated, "Snow was BIG news last year in New York City. This year it's water!!!" He also predicted, "Strangely, for a short time there is an UNOCCUPYING of Wall Street." As it turned out, both of these foretold the ravaging effects of one of the most unlikely weather incidents for that metropolis, HURRICANE SANDY, where Wall Street shut down, evacuations occurred, the markets closed, and water flooded much of the city, subways and islands.
Each year at New Year's time since 1996,Sidney Friedman (a.k.a. SidneySeer) has released predictions which through 2012 have achieved a documented 73% accuracy (some years as high as 77% and never lower than 62%). Plus, year after year, Friedman has nearly 100% success with his OSCAR predictions, missing only twice. Through the years these predictions have been covered by major news and talk shows on local and national CBS-TV, NBC-TV, ABC-TV, FOX-TV, WGN-TV and hundreds of radio programs, as well as in print media. PAST PREDICTION SUCCESS:A 73% overall accuracy for 15 years of publicly stated prognostications, including:
1) the earthquake on the east coast in 2011.
2) Obama winning the 2008 election, predicted pre-primaries, against all punditry at that time.
3) Obama winning the 2012 election, including that he'd carry two southern states, which he did with Virginia and Florida.
4) the landing point of Hurricane Floyd, predicted on CBS News.
5) Martha Stewart's legal troubles, predicted on ABC-TV's THE VIEW.
6) Martin Scorsese’s Oscar in 2007 after being denied year after year (and SidneySeer is nearly 100% for all his Oscar predictions through the years).
7) 2008's drop in oil prices.
8) the prediction on FOX-TV stating "the Mississippi River will significantly change course" which it did following Hurricane Katrina and the levees breaking.
9) the exact trend of the U.S. stock market in 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012.
10) Steve Fossett's successful circumnavigation of the globe in a balloon.
11) Jennifer Aniston's engagement in 2012, predicted on FOX-TV.
12) the 2012 unemployment rate, predicting it would fall to 7.6% on FOX-TV, which was contrary to all economists and pundits who forecasted a rate no lower than 8.2%.
13) the rash of injuries in the NBA in 2012.
14) the tragic floods in New York City, as stated in the NEW YORK POST, resulting from Hurricane Sandy in 2012.
Friedman's foresights for 2013
as stated on various media
including shows on
FOX-TV, ABC-TV,NBC-TV and in FORBES magazine
Warning: Don't read if you'd rather let the year be a surprise. ;)
RESULTS IN RED
77% accurate (22.5 HITS, 7.5 misses) on initial predictions. 71% accurate when including add'l OSCAR predictions made on 2/21.
(The hopeful CUBS prediction is never factored in.)
1) Contrary to current tension, and against all reasoned historical probability, there is an unusual, unexpected calm with a period of peaceful understanding in the Middle East by summer of this year between either Israel and the Palestinians, or Israel and Iran, achieved not by political leaders, but by common citizens. A HALF-HIT. The Iranian nuclear deal, worked on through the summer and finalized in November is the first diplomacy with Iran in over 4 decades. It's effectiveness is debatable, but we're not here to comment on the politics of it. Also, much of the press gives credit toIranian citizens for helping to make this happen, as reported here on 11/25/13: pri.org/stories/2013-11-25/iran-and-us-may-be-celebrating-deal-not-israel-or-some-arab-states
2) In a quasi shake-up, Jimmy Fallon is named host of NBC-TV’s “Tonight Show,” replacing Jay Leno. A HIT. News reports on 3/20/13 that NBC is building Fallon a studio in Rockefeller Center for that purpose.
3) A massive amount of dead fish are seen floating in an east coast bay.A HIT. On January 13th, tens of thousands of dead fish washed ashore on a mile and a half stretch of South Carolina beach in Georgetown County. And the week before, thousands of small dead fish washed ashore near Masonboro Island, North Carolina.
4) Though this movie is not getting the publicity others are garnering, I foresee OSCAR gold bestowed upon Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook) for Best Actress. NOTE: AS IS THE CASE EVERY YEAR, I DO NOT SEE ANY OF THE MOVIES PRIOR TO THESE PREDICTIONS. A HIT.
5) With stiff competition from potential nominees Helen Hunt, Sally Field and others, I see Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables) triumphantly holding the OSCAR for Best Supporting Actress. A HIT.
6) Even though stalwarts like Robert DeNiro and Leonardo DiCaprio will be nominated in this category, my vision is Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) winning the Best Supporting Actor OSCAR. A miss.
7) In some of the more odd and highly unpredictable categories, Zero Dark Thirtywins the OSCAR for best original screenplay, and Life of Pi wins for cinematography. A HIT on "Life of Pi." A miss on "Zero Dark Thirty."
8) I foresee two other OSCAR event images: Something occurs with shaking. And while each year, a huge variety of styles and fabrics are seen on women who stroll the OSCAR red carpet, the men wear the basic black tuxedo. EXCEPT FOR THIS YEAR! For 2013, I see strikingly metallic tuxedos for one or several men. A miss. Many metallic dresses, but no tuxes. But A HIT on shaking with host Seth MacFarlane's attempt to shake things up, as headlined in post-Oscar news stories.
9) A new, odd, unexpected source of fuel for cars, trucks and/or machinery is announced. A HIT. Reported on 2/25/13, pilot plans 10,500 mile trip on fuel extracted from plastic bags and bubble wrap. http://www.msn.com/jeremy-roswell-to-attempt-flight-on-plastic-waste-fuel
10) Regarding the United States economy, as you know, I began doing economic predictions just after the “bubble burst” of 2008, and each year I have been correct on the overall trend of the Dow and other aspects of the economy (i.e. the unemployment rate), much of it predicting trends and numbers that superseded the forecasts of most analysts and pundits. In addition, in 2008, my stated long-term vision was that a recovery would indeed occur, with the economic engine fully recovering by about 2015 to 2016. So far, that timetable is exactly on track with even more improvement in 2013. ... And for 2013, home prices overall continue to rise. Rental prices overall begin to decline after 2012’s high rates. In the sales market, home inventory is still low, but increases by Fall. ...Last year, again against most punditry I predicted a drop of the unemployment rate to 7.6%, which was spot on target. 2013 will see the unemployment rate drop to 6.8% with an outside chance of 6.5%. ...As if we haven’t had enough of these, yet another banking debacle will occur this year. ...The U.S. stock market is due for an after-shock, a re-shuffling, a delayed final tremor from the 2008 market quake. Whether it occurs this year or in 2014 is not in focus as yet, so I will give a 24-month prognostication. At some point during this two-year period, expect a relatively sudden and panicked drop of 6% to 11%, followed by not much movement for several months, followed by a steady but major rebound. Specific to 2013, there will be significant fluctuation in the early part of the year and again in early Fall. At some point during this two-year cycle (2013 and 2014), the DOW twice will rise anywhere from 11% to 14% higher than where are now, and with a good probability of 2013 finishing 7% to 10% higher. So in spite of the after-shock I mentioned, there are times for the investor to make money. Also, expect the color red and the number 211 or 121 to have significance on Wall Street. In time, the meaning will be clear. Most important, remember, it’s a market of stocks, not a stock market. Always consult an investment advisor and add their thoughts to your own knowledge and intuition. A HIT and a HALF-HIT. Unemployment fell to 7.0% in November (a five-year low). My prediction was for 6.8%. That is pretty close, and once again more accurate than most pundits. My prediction of the DOW finishing 7% to 10% higher was way off in that the DOW is set to finish more than 20% higher, BUT my prognostication was far more accurate and positive than most pundits, many of whom predicted a down market. So my trending was accurate, the amount was inaccurate. I'll take half a hit on that one.
11) What this exactly means, I don’t know, but for a time, a huge portion of the internet goes dark. A HIT. Reported on 3/21/13 re South Korea, and then on 10/19/13 for New York, New Hampshire and Maine.
12) A recurring vision of mine, too striking to ignore, is that the eating of bugs gains a following. A HIT. Bug eating stories in numerous publications from the CHICAGO TRIBUNE to SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN.
13) Big voice, new tiny waist. …Although she’s strongly independent of worry about what others think, Christina Aguilera goes on some type of retreat and in the process returns significantly slimmer. A HIT. As per news stories and pictures on 3/21/13.
14) Monogram the towels with just a “K.” …After a brief parting, Kim Kardashian and Kanye West will announce they are tying the Knot. And btw: Kim’s divorce from Kris Humphries will be finalized by summer. That’s a lot of K’s. (Speaking of which, let’s hope none of this is done in a Kangaroo Court.) A HIT !!! Engagement announced on 10/22/13.
15) Justice and Justin. …There is a court case involving a family member of Justin Bieber. In another matter entirely, I also sense and envision a period of silence regarding Justin along with another vision involving one of his arms in some significant way. TWO HITS. One miss. Bieber tattooed his entire left arm. Regarding the silencing, on Dec 25, Bieber shockingly tweeted, "I'm retiring." And miss re court case with family member.
16) A shock of white light is seen in the night sky in several regions of the country this winter or spring. A HIT. On Feb 15th, fireball from meteor lit up sky above San Francisco in addition to the massive meteor in Russia that same night. Then on the night of Mar 22nd, a HUGE flash of white light lit up the entire east coast sky all the way from New York to Florida. news.yahoo.com/nasa-flash-east-coast-sky-likely-meteor-041939030.html
17) While I truly hope this does not occur, I foresee a medical condition that sidelines Vice President Joe Biden. A HALF-HIT. No medical condition thankfully, but major story occurred on 10/10/13 with headline "Harry Reid has Sidelined Joe Biden." http://www.townhall.com/tipsheet/heatherginsburg/2013/10/10/harry-reid-has-sidelined-joe-biden-n1720874
18) A huge discovery is made, or a significant event occurs, regarding solar flares. A HIT. On January 13th, a CME, or a Coronal Mass Ejection, blasted from the sun, sparking radio blackouts. Some scientists even called it a "solar blob" and it added to a spectacualr Northern Lights display.
19) The number 9, the number 2, and a heart-shaped image in the sky in some way will be part of this year’s events. Probably a miss with the numbers. A HIT with heart and sky. ROLLING STONE hailed singer Sky Ferreira's song "Heavy Metal Heart" as one of the 100 Best Songs of 2013.
20) A plague-like pandemic affects populations in Europe and to some extent in the USA. Much of it ironically occurs in hospitals. A HIT. Massive flu outbreak, and on 1/24/13 it was reported by the CDC that the norovirus reached the US from Australia.
21) TECH-nically speaking: A tech company will announce in 2013 (or at the latest by summer 2014), a flexible tablet that rolls up or folds up. While most mobile phone manufacturers are launching larger displays, Apple announces and releases a “mini iPhone” geared toward children and also under-served populations around the world. Also, with speculation on this for several years, 2013 is the year Apple finally launches a “smart TV.” And the big news is in spite of negative reviews and a shaky launch, WINDOWS 8 sees excellent signs of catching on. 3 HITS. 1 miss (Apple TV).
22) Overall for the world, we are in a two to three year cycle of rebirth, not just economically, but a repairing of the world, so to speak, in many areas of concern for individuals and societies. Revelations will occur and renovations will begin. Still in process.
23) And for the umpteenth year, I predict the Chicago CUBS will finally make it to the World Series. …And I’ll keep predicting it until they do. (I also predict, through eternity, I might never be right on this.) Jocular.
MORE ACADEMY AWARDS PREDICTIONS(added 2/21/13) Several OSCAR predictions are listed above. Here are more, including the most difficult to predict - the minor, more esoteric categories, like cinematography and production design. And remember, I DO NOT see the films. These are just intuitive hunches. THE ACCURATE PREDICTIONS ARE IN RED.
1) Eleven youngmovie theater employees will pull hamstrings attempting to pronounce "Anna Karenina" and "Les Miserables." Jocular. ...
2) BEST ACTRESS (as stated above): Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Lining Playbook" (This prediction I stated back in December prior to the nominations, even though this film and its performances were not receiving the recognition of many others.) ...
3) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (as stated above): Anne Hathaway, "Les Miserables" (This prediction I also made back in December, pre-nominations when there was a lot fo buzz fro Sally Field and even Helen Hunt.) ...
4) BEST ACTOR: Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln" (This prediction was made back in December.) ...
5) BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (as stated above): Tommy Lee Jones, "Lincoln" (This one is tough. I have a strong intuition for Robert DeNiro winning this category, but my gut feeling for Tommy Lee Jones is just a bit stronger.)
6) BEST PICTURE: "Argo" ("Lincoln" I think is favored by many pundits, but I intuit "Argo" will bring this trophy home.) ...
7) BEST DIRECTOR: Stephen Spielberg, "Lincoln" (He has won 4 or 5 Oscars already, so logically one would think the Academy this year would spread the wealth as they often do, but I am still going with Spielberg. It's also a prediction I gave to Elizabeth Vargas of ABC-TV's 20/20 back in August before the film's release.)
8) BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY (as stated above): "Life of Pi" (Minor categories like this are extremely difficult to predict, and movies such as "Skyfall," just by the nature of a Bond film, would seem to warrant this award, but my deep intuition says to go with "Life of Pi.") ...
9) BEST FOREIGN FILM: "Amour" (Who the heck knows anything about any film in this category, but in some respects, throughout the world, I've predicted this will be the year of love, so my hunch is this title will fittingly win.) ...
10) BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: Mychael Danna, "Life of Pi" ...
11) BEST ORIGINAL SONG: "Skyfall" ...
12) BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: "Lincoln" ...
13) BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (as stated above): "Zero Dark Thirty," though I've had a lot of hunches for "Django Unchained" and "Amour." ...
14) BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: "Anna Karenina" (How does anyone possibly choose with apparent worthy choices such as "Les Miserables," "Lincoln" and "Life of Pi"? But like baseball, basketball and hockey which have a seven-game series to determine a winner, through seven meditations, four resulted with "Anna Karenina," so I go with that.) ...
15) BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: "Searching for Sugar Man" ...
16) BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: "Life of Pi" ...
17) BEST FACIAL HAIR IN A LEADING ROLE: A tie between Hugh Jackman ("Les Miserables"), Ian McKellen ("The Hobbit"). and Daniel Day Lewis ("Lincoln"). Jocular.
18) And FINALLY: I have two more predictions about the 2013 Oscars which I do not want to state, as the very statement of these predictions could in turn likely change the future, thus negating their occurrence. So these two predictions have been notarized and mailed to TV host Mark Bezar of THE INTERVIEW SHOW (which airs on "The Huffington Post" channel), and will be opened on March 1st when I appear on his show.
ADDED 2/24/13 at 4:00PM CST
19) Took a pre-Oscar nap, dreamed a bit, and came up with two additional hunches: "Paperman" wins for animated short film, ... and 20) "Open Heart" wins for documentary short film.
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