Results from Previous Years
FRIEDMAN's FORECAST for 2008
released 12/31/07
As
of 12/20/08, the results
are at 68% correct (20.5 out of 30),
though they
are 72% without the annual comedic CUBS prediction.
HEADLINE: Barack
Obama prediction
(made pre-primaries) comes to fruition
against all
punditry and odds.
1) Toxic snow will be detected and found as
a new danger.
2) A court house will be held hostage. A HIT. On February
8th, a gunman stormed a courtroom in Kirkwood, Missouri killing
6 people.
3) A Christmas card will somehow save a life.
4) There will
be a military confrontation in Antarctica. A HIT. On March 8th, Japan
decided to use armed coast guard to protect its whaling ships from
Australian protesters.
5) Kanye West will be the big winner at the
Grammies this year. A HIT
6) The affairs of several well-known gay
athletes will be "outed."
7) Overall, oil prices will drop 20%. (Let's
hope so.) A major HIT, especially considering oil prices skyrocketed
to $147 a barrel after beginning the year at $99.In mid-November it
is now at $56 and should rise only a bit before year's end.
8) For
the first time, a person with Diabetes will be cured. 1/2 A HIT with
report in March in Britain of human trials to begin on diabetes cure
after mice were returned to health.
9) A presidential candidate will
narrowly escape death. 1/2 A HIT with October's foiling
of neo-nazi plan to assinate Barack Obama.
10) A former Olympic competitor
will be found living on the streets. A HIT
11) Apple computers will
be subjected to a major cyber hacking. A HIT
12) Facial hair, particularly
sideburns and mustaches, will be an upcoming fashion. 1/2 A HIT. Early in the year, David Letterman wore a beard for many weeks on
his show which relates to my vision, but still it did not become an
overwheling fashion trend.
13) A rash of thefts of "moving
pods" will occur.
14) Bill Gates will be the subject of an extortion
attempt.
15) Actors will plan a boycott of one or more awards events.A HIT
16) Ironically, Britney Spears and her younger sister will lead
relatively clean, quiet, non-controversial lives this year, though
a gun incident will surround them at some point. A HIT. On January
6th, Britney held her two sons hostage during a custody battle standoff,
and the police found two guns in her house.
17) Military research will
attempt to make a bionic man. A HIT
18) There will be a mystery rash
of unexplained Zoo animal deaths. A HIT
19) Tragedy in the Chinese
space program will occur.
20) There will be drug wars among Asian gangs.A HIT
21) Anthrax threats will reappear. A HIT
22) Wild fluctations
in the U.S. stock market, with a possible mini-crash in springtime.A DEFINITE (and unfortunate) HIT
23) Paris Hilton will actually
change her image and earn some respect from the media. A HIT
24) I
usually stay clear of politics in these forecasts, but my impression
is that there will be record numbers of young voters turning out to
the polls in both the primaries and general election. Adding that
to other factors and visions leads me to intuit that Barack
Obama, against current odds, will be elected as the next president
of the United States. A MAJOR HIT contrary to all pundit predictions
of a year ago, pre-primaries, when Hillary Clinton was the overwhelming
favorite.
25) The Chicago CUBS will make it to the World Series
(LOL).
additional
prediction added 1/5/08:
26) [Hope this one does not occur.]
A major fatal train incident involving a chemical substance will
occur in the U.S. this year. A HIT
OSCAR predictions added 2/18/08:
Regarding
the OSCARS, I haven't seen even one film this past year, so this is,
as usual, totally from the gut: 27) Joel and Ethan Cohen
will win Best Director; 28) Julie Christie will win Best Actress;29) Daniel Day-Lewis will win Best Actor; and 30) No Country for Old
Men will win Best Picture. A, C & D are HITS.
(Missed on Best Actress -- first miss ever for Oscar predictions.)
Results of FRIEDMAN's
FORECAST for 2007
62% accuracy (not counting the CUBS and psychic prediction.)
Correct
predictions are in RED.
This was not Friedman's best year, but Friedman
predicted it would
be a bad year for psychics. Still, all in all,
62% is fairly good
considering most of us don't know what will occur
2 minutes from now.
1) It will be a bad year for coffee drinkers.
2) There
will be a deadly nuclear accident in the middle east. (Let's hope
this one doesn't happen.)
3) Of all things, Nehru jackets will return
to fashion.
4) A ring with a massive stash of counterfeit American
currency will be busted.
5) Krazy Glue will save lives.
6) Actress Hellen
Mirren will win an Oscar for best actress.
7) After many years of disappointment,
Martin Scorsese will finally win an Oscar.
8) There will be a major SNAFU at
Fort Knox.
9) A female assassin will stalk Washington, D.C.
10) There
will be shortages of honey.
11) Wal-mart will be investigated for illegally
influencing politicians.
12) Televisions will burn down houses.
13) In
the U.S. markets, the tech sectors will show a remarkable gain of
about 20%.
14) The Dow will flirt with 13,000 but then will retreat
to approximately where it began, perhaps even lose some ground. (1/2 A
HIT. THE DOW ACTED AS PREDICTED BUT ACTUALLY WENT UP TO 14,000 then
retreated.)
15) There will be a major scandal in Mutual Funds,
causing resignations and perhaps even suicide.
16) Seismic activity
will occur in an unexpected portion of North America, very possibly
in the Midwest.
17) Space debris will find its first victim.
18) It
will be a bad year for psychics.
(NOTE: Friedman also predicted
the CUBS would make it to the World Series, but let's not count that
one - he emotionally predicts it every year.)
Prediction RESULTS for2006
FRIEDMAN achieved a 68% accuracy, not including the
annual
jocular CUBS prediction. The following have come true: 1, 2,
3, 6, 7, 8,
10, half of 11, 13, 15, 19. and most impressive, #12
has come true with
the Dow Jones surpassing the all-time record 12,000 on
October 18th.
FRIEDMAN's Dow prediction occurred in spite
of contrary
expectations of most investors and market analysts.
#19
is also amazingly accurate. It is in contrast to most scientists
who said this year would be one of the worst for hurricanes.
Friedman
was right! Not one major hurricane hit land this year in the
U.S.
( Predictions in RED have come to fruition. )
1) Viagra
will save lives, and become a new "wonder" drug.
2) Sex scandel at
the United Nations. A ring of prostitutes will be found regularly
working the U.N.
3A) Philip Seymour Hoffman will win the Oscar for
best actor.
3B) And Reese Witherspoon will also win an Oscar.
4) Paris
Hilton will file a restraining order against an ex-lover.
5) Donald
Trump will come under investigation by the IRS.
6) Angelina Jolie and/or
Brad Pitt will have a close call when a plane she and/or he are traveling
in nearly crashes or has mechanical problems.
7) Leg warmers will be
"in" again for women.
8) Someone will claim to have been Oprah's gay
lover.
9) There will be a partial brain transplant attempted.
10) Record
number of people will be injured by fish other than sharks!
11) Titanic
repeat -- a ship will tragically sink, actually hitting an iceberg
or large object.
12) The Dow will briefly hit 12,000.
13) Computer and
TV products will spy on and report owners activities to companies
via internet.
14) A ship carrying radioactive materials will be taken
for ransom.
15) A major payola scandel in music will occur, most likely
in Country Music.
16) There will be an attempted coup in Russia with
Vladimir Putin in danger of his life!
17) Secret diaries of Pope John
Paul II are found. Vatican refuses to divulge contents.
18) There will
be a major attack on the Suez canal, possibly even closing it briefly!
19) Although
2005 was an active year for major natural disasters in the USA, this
coming year will be quiet in comparison.
20) And, "Miracle on Clark
and Addison." As I predict every year, the CUBS will make it to the
World Series. This is probably a wishful, tainted prediction,
but I'll keep predicting it until it happens!!!
Results of FRIEDMAN's FORECAST for 2005
1) Geological
activity will increase with earthquakes in rare places. A HIT
2) Madonna
will be caught having cosmetic surgery. A HIT
3) A huge iceberg will
break off the antarctic. A HIT
4) Jamie Fox will win the Oscar for
best actor. A HIT
5) Martha Stewart's business will rise to new heights
ion spite of her conviction and jail time. She may also run for public
office. A HIT ON THE BUSINESS PREDICTION. A MISS ON THE POLITICS
PREDICTION (though I feel it still will happen).
6) Dick Clark will
return from his serious ailments to host New Year's Eve '05-'06. A HIT
7) In spite of a dismal start to the season, the Chicago Bulls
will make the playoffs. A HIT
8) Largest lotto winner ever will happen.A HIT (There was a billion dollar payout in England.)
9) Gary
Sinese will save a life in a traffic accident. A MISS
10) There
will be actual proof of life on a moon of Saturn. A MISS
11) Howard
Stern will be the victim of a harrassment lawsuit. A MISS
12) Anna
Nicole Smith will get an educational degree. A MISS
13) Las Vegas will
go dark momentarily. A HIT (In late December there was a thief
who stole thousands of Christmas lights and displays in a part of
Las Vegas.)
14) There will be a bomb scare on Air Force One. HALF-A-HIT (Earlier this year there was a significant delay for the
president when there apparent security problems with Air Force One,
but it turned out not to be a bomb.)
15) The Mississippi River will
significantly change course. A HIT!!!!! (Katrina and the breaking
of the levees).
(NOTE: Friedman also predicted the CUBS would
make it to the World Series, but let's not count that one - he crazily
predicts it every year.)
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